The Express | Insight Before the Bell
By Caleb Silver, Editor in Chief & Deborah D'Souza, News Editor Wednesday's Headlines 1. Global markets rise as virus concerns ebb 2. Boeing has a new 737 Max issue 3. Facebook enters the ring for IRS fight 4. What happens to China's Q1 GDP? Image courtesy: Michaela Rehle / REUTERS Markets Today Investors are more optimistic today and global markets are climbing after data showed the rate of new confirmed cases of coronavirus infections in China has slowed the most since Jan. 29. There's also hope China's central bank will do more to help the economy tomorrow. The total number of deaths in the country has crossed 2,000. U.S. futures are edging higher a day after Apple's earnings admission caused the S&P 500 and Dow to drop.
We continue to hear from more companies about the impact of China's lockdowns. Adidas said business activity in Greater China has fallen a whopping 85% since Jan. 25. Rival Puma says the health crisis in the region will hurt its first quarter profits and sales as stores remained closed and tourism fell.
There is a slew of economic data releasing today in the U.S., including producer price index, building permits and housing starts. The FOMC will publish its January meeting minutes at 2 p.m. ET. Tonight we'll also see former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg make his Democratic debate debut in Nevada.
In the words of Taylor Swift, keep cruising.
Headlines:
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Image courtesy: Giphy The Big Story Facebook Could See Giant Tax Bill A long-running dispute between Facebook and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) regarding transfer pricing finally entered a tax court in San Francisco yesterday. The IRS has accused the tech giant of dodging taxes a decade ago by undervaluing technology it transferred to its Irish subsidiary. Facebook valued its intellectual property at $6.5 billion, but the IRS contends it was worth $21 billion and the move was deliberate in order to lower taxes paid in the U.S..
Facebook says the valuations were justified since 2010 was a time of "great risk and uncertainty for the company.""This trial is about transactions that took place in 2010, when Facebook had no mobile advertising revenue, its international business was nascent, and its digital advertising products were unproven," said spokesperson Bertie Thomson to AFP. The government agency accused the company of crafting a "Tale of Two Facebooks" by claiming 2010 was "the worst of times" when it was actually "the best of times."
In a recent SEC filing, the social network operator said that if it loses the case and the IRS applies its position to subsequent tax years, it will have to pay $9 billion plus interest and penalties.
ProPublica has reported on Facebook's complicated dealings with the IRS and this article provides more insight for anyone interested in what went on at HQ. Image courtesy: Macrotrends Read more: Image Courtesy: CNBC The Big Number: 3.5% That's the first quarter GDP growth rate Morgan Stanley is predicting for China if the COVID-19 outbreak peaks in April and disruptions continue into March. It is the worst of three scenarios the bank looked at for a recent note reported on by CNBC (see chart above). Currently it expects manufacturing production to reach 60% to 80% of the usual levels by the end of this month and return to normal by middle to late March.
Meanwhile, Moody's this week revised its GDP growth forecast for China to 5.2% in 2020 from 5.8%. "In our baseline forecast, we assume the rate of disease transmission will slow in the coming weeks. Under this assumption, the economic impact will be limited to Q1 and a level of normalcy will be restored by the beginning of Q2," it said in a report. More coverage:
3 Charts Suggest Bullishness on Transportation Stocks Active traders often look to the transportation sector for clues about market direction. These charts suggest prices are headed higher.
Drug Distributor Stocks in Focus Amid Opioid Settlement Jostling Leading drug distributor stocks remain sensitive to ongoing opioid settlement negotiations. Here are crucial technical levels to watch.
Investors Walking Away From ViacomCBS Stock ViacomCBS has attracted little or no buying interest since the December merger despite Wall Street happy talk.
Walmart Stock Could Hit New 2020 Low Walmart is trading lower after missing fourth quarter profit estimates and could sell off to a new low before bottoming out.
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