The Express | Insight Before the Bell
By Caleb Silver, Editor in Chief & Deborah D'Souza, News Editor Monday's Headlines 1. Global markets mixed as virus death count rises 2. Trump to release $4.8 trillion budget 3. Tesla poised to rip higher at the open 4. Puerto Rican debt restructuring Image courtesy: Erin Scott/Reuters Markets Today Global markets are mixed this Monday morning as investors eye the latest fatality count from the coronavirus, which reached 908 this morning. More than 40,000 cases have been confirmed so far according to global health officials, making the virus more widespread than SARS. Some Chinese factories resumed operations today for the first time since the Lunar New Year holiday, but restarting the country's massive supply chains has not been without issues according to various news reports. Some provinces and districts have now told companies to not return to work until March 1, according to officials.
Earnings season is winding down this week, and the focus has shifted from last quarter's results to the impact of the coronavirus on companies' outlooks for the first quarter of 2020 and beyond. Those companies with the greatest exposure to China will continue to be under close scrutiny, including apparel brands like Nike, Apple, given its supply chain exposure from companies like Foxconn, hotel and gaming companies including Wynn Resorts and Sands, and semiconductor companies like Nvidia and Applied Materials.
With a global virus still not contained, the New Hampshire Democratic primary, a $4.8 trillion budget proposal and more corporate earnings to digest, Monday is loaded up. Let's get ready! Headlines:
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Image courtesy: Hanna-Barbera/Giphy The Big Story Budget The summaries of President Trump's fiscal 2021 budget proposal have been leaked to the press, and we have a better idea of his election-year pitch for the economy.
Here's what we know it includes:
The budget naturally throws into focus the ballooning national debt and annual deficits. According to The White House, the federal budget deficit will fall below $1 trillion next year to $966 billion and the budget will be balanced after 2025. The economy will grow at an average rate of 3% for the next 15 years (CBO projects 1.7%) and the 10-year Treasury yield will rise to 3% in 10 years.
The Trump administration wants to slash spending by $4.4 trillion over the next decade and suggests $2 trillion in savings come from reducing access to mandatory spending programs like disability benefits, Medicaid and food stamps and changes to Medicare prescription-drug pricing. Experts expect this budget to be dead on arrival for this reason. For those unfamiliar with the U.S. federal budget process, the President will submit his proposal to both the Houses in Congress where budget resolutions are drafted. The Democrat-controlled House is not likely to accept the cuts to mandatory spending programs suggested, and Speaker Nancy Pelosi has already released a critical statement. Read more: Image courtesy: Sam Valadi/CC by 2.0 Big Number: $24 Billion That's how much of Puerto Rico's debt would be cut according to a new restructuring deal reached by the Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico and certain bondholders on Sunday.
This agreement would reduce $35 billion of the recession-plagued U.S. territory's outstanding bond debt and other claims by 70% to less than $11 billion and cut its debt service by 56% to $39.7 billion from $90.4 billion. "Puerto Rico would completely resolve its legacy debt in 20 years, 10 years sooner than under the previous agreement," said the official press release, referring to the rejected earlier plan.
General obligation (GO) bondholders would face a 29% average value reduction and holders of Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (PBA) bonds a 23% average value reduction. Commonwealth creditors would receive $10.7 billion in new debt, half in GO bonds and half in COFINA Junior Lien bonds, as well as $3.8 billion in cash.
The deal will now need lawmakers' and a federal judge's approval. Governor Wanda Vazquez has panned it because it doesn't repeal pension cuts.
Read more: More coverage:
What to Expect in the Markets This Week Earnings season is winding down, but there are still a big names left. Also, Fed Chair Powell testifies this week.
Outlook Brightens for Video Game Stocks Video game companies have posted mixed quarterly results, but upcoming catalysts could lift these stocks to new highs.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Are Ditching LIBOR Home mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will stop purchasing loans tied to LIBOR after 2020, preferring the new SOFR benchmark from the Fed.
Direxion Aims to Diversify Investing With Launch of New ESG-Focused ETF The company announced that it has launched a new ETF designed to help create long-term growth for investors.
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